Will the current La Niña influence the weather over the U.S. this winter? The Climate Prediction Center’s Mike Halpert dishes out the details of the November update to NOAA’s 2020-21 winter outlook.
Breadjerknes feedback.... wait, I'm sorry, I mean *Bjerknes* feedback, and how it helps El Niño and La Niña events to grow.
Guest blogger Marybeth Arcodia explains her latest research into how the Madden-Julian Oscillation and ENSO sometimes enhance each other's influence on U.S. precipitation and other times cancel each other out.
The chance of La Niña developing by the fall and lasting through winter is 50-55%, and NOAA has issued a La Niña Watch.
Not a Mad Lib! Our blogger lays out some of the evidence for and against the notion that volcanic eruptions can trigger El Niño.
NOAA scientists are using advances in global climate modeling to improve our ability to make seasonal predictions of Atlantic hurricane activity.
The ENSO team goes virtual in bringing you the latest outlook across the tropical Pacific Ocean.
How did the 2019-20 Winter Outlook do? Pretty darn good if you ask us! Learn just how good in our yearly verification post.
Our blogger discusses current conditions in the tropical Pacific and why forecasters favor ENSO-neutral through the summer.
There’s more than just ENSO in the tropical climate neighborhood. Our blogger discusses an Indian Ocean climate pattern that had an important impact on Australia’s catastrophic 2019 bushfire season.