How well did the 2021-2022 Winter outlook do? Pretty well if you ask me! Chalk up another year in a track record of outlooks performing better than random chance.
It's too soon to tell whether this winter's double-dip La Niña will become next winter's three-bean salad. But our blogger tells us what's on the menu this spring.
How do El Niño and La Niña affect atmospheric rivers?
Hop in as our ENSO blogger takes you on a road trip through the February 2022 ENSO forecast.
A high-level explainer of the jet stream. (Ha ha..."high-level"...get it?)
La Niña is likely near its peak strength, but that doesn't mean its impacts will disappear anytime soon.
As we enter our second La Niña winter in a row, our blogger explains what we know about the chances for a three-peat. (TL;DR: possible, but not statistically likely.)
What weather can the U.S. expect in the second winter of a double-dip La Niña? The Climate Prediction Center’s Mike Halpert lays it out in his discussion of the November update to NOAA’s winter outlook.
If ENSO is a romantic comedy, our ocean-atmosphere couple is in an on-again phase, and they're expected to stay together through the winter.
Why doesn't the climate behave like we expect? The answer often lies in the internal variability of our atmosphere. Our ENSO Blogger explains exactly what that is.