The chance of La Niña developing by the fall and lasting through winter is 50-55%, and NOAA has issued a La Niña Watch.
Not a Mad Lib! Our blogger lays out some of the evidence for and against the notion that volcanic eruptions can trigger El Niño.
Odds are split between La Niña developing this fall and ENSO-neutral conditions continuing. Our blogger gives you the scoop on the forecast.
NOAA scientists are using advances in global climate modeling to improve our ability to make seasonal predictions of Atlantic hurricane activity.
Pack your thermos of coffee and pop a tape in the cassette deck... we're going to tour some roadside attractions, ENSO-style.
Burning fossil fuels releases both greenhouse gases and tiny particles called aerosols, which have a push-pull impact on the strength of hurricanes.
The ENSO team goes virtual in bringing you the latest outlook across the tropical Pacific Ocean.
How did the 2019-20 Winter Outlook do? Pretty darn good if you ask us! Learn just how good in our yearly verification post.
Our blogger discusses current conditions in the tropical Pacific and why forecasters favor ENSO-neutral through the summer.
There’s more than just ENSO in the tropical climate neighborhood. Our blogger discusses an Indian Ocean climate pattern that had an important impact on Australia’s catastrophic 2019 bushfire season.